Comparing Top Servers vs. Top Returners on the ATP Tour

Image of Ben Shelton Serving
Tennis ReturnSource

Who is Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton is currently ranked #9 in the world and the best American tennis player on the ATP Tour. Ben Shelton is known for his big serve and agressive play style. Ben Shelton is currently in the finals for the US Open after defeating Carlos Alcaraz at 3:30 in the morning.

The ATP publishes its own composite Serve Rating, and Shelton is No. 2 on it — but he doesn't appear in the top 50 on the Return leaderboard. So the serve story is real and incomplete.

How To Use this Page

htwebfwjf how to use page

The Data

ATP LogoThe following data is from ATPtour.com. The leaderboard shows the top 10 players based on their serving stats as seen below.

Player
Serve Rating
% 1st Serve
% 1st Serve Points Won
% 2st Serve Points Won
% Service Games Won
Avg. Aces/ Match
Avg. Double Faults/Match
1 Player-Photo-Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
305.3 65.4% 80.7% 58.4% 93.5% 8.6 1.3
2 Player-Photo-Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton
299.4 68.3% 76.5% 57.5% 89.9% 10.0 2.8
3 Player-Photo-Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
299.3 71.8% 76.0% 56.0% 88.5% 9.2 2.2
4 Player-Photo-Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz
298.9 65.7% 79.2% 53.2% 88.9% 13.9 2.0
5 Player-Photo-Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
297.0 71.2% 76.7% 49.5% 86.9% 15.9 3.2
6 Player-Photo-Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz
294.8 63.3% 79.6% 50.6% 88.5% 15.7 2.9
7 Player-Photo-Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime
294.2 67.6% 78.1% 51.6% 88.8% 10.8 2.7
8 Player-Photo-Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima
289.6 65.8% 77.6% 50.3% 87.0% 9.9 1.0
9 Player-Photo-Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik
289.5 64.8% 78.3% 50.5% 87.5% 11.9 3.5
10 Player-Photo-Arthur Rinderknech

Arthur Rinderknech
289.0 63.5% 77.2% 51.9% 87.3% 12.0 2.9
Player
Return Rating
% 1st Serve Return Points Won
% 2nd Serve Return Points Won
% Return Games Won
% Break Points Converted
1 Player-Photo-Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
160.6 34.4% 53.5% 30.0% 42.7%
2 Player-Photo-Daniel Merida

Daniel Merida
160.5 32.0% 54.1% 29.6% 44.8%
3 Player-Photo-Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
159.2 33.4% 54.6% 29.9% 41.3%
4 Player-Photo-Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar
158.6 33.1% 51.8% 29.7% 44.0%
5 Player-Photo-Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev
158.5 34.0% 53.4% 28.3% 42.8%
6 Player-Photo-Luca Van Assche

Luca Van Assche
155.2 31.3% 52.9% 28.4% 42.6%
7 Player-Photo-Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo
154.5 31.7% 53.4% 29.4% 40.0%
8 Player-Photo-Learner Tien

Learner Tien
153.2 31.1% 52.9% 26.3% 42.9%
9 Player-Photo-Alex de Minaur

Alex de Minaur
152.5 31.2% 53.9% 26.4% 41.0%
10 Player-Photo-Ignacio Buse

Ignacio Buse
152.3 30.6% 50.3% 25.5% 45.9%

What the Data Tells Us

The serve is real

Shelton has a powerful and effective serve, ranked just after Jannik Sinner for the best servers on the ATP tour.

Aces aren't the whole story

Mpetshi Perricard hits 15.9 aces a match and ranks 5th. Hurkacz hits 15.8 and ranks 6th. Sinner hits 8.4 — barely half — and ranks 1st. Shelton is only 9.8. This means that Serve Rating rewards efficiency, not power. The ace count in the table tells you almost nothing.

What are Shelton's Strengths?

Since aces don't drive the ranking, Shelton's value comes from consistency. He lands 67.9% of first serves and wins 57.6% of second-serve points — the second-best second-serve number in the entire top 25, behind only Sinner. The second serve is the shot a player can't hide, and Shelton's is the hardest to attack of any big server on this list.

What the Serve Can't Do

Shelton ranks 2nd of 50 on serve and doesn't appear in the top 50 on the ATP's Return leaderboard. Sinner and Alcaraz are top-3 on both. Holding serve keeps Shelton in matches, but he can't take his opponent's, so his path runs through tiebreaks and fifth sets — which is how his quarterfinal against Alcaraz ended at 3:33 in the morning.

Glossary

+/-
Plus/Minus Rating
A
Assists
G
Goals
GP
Games Played
GWG
Game-Winning Goals
PIM
Penalty Minutes
PPA
Power Play Assists
PPG
Power Play Goals
PROD
Production
PTS
Points
SHA
Short Handed Assists
SHG
Short Handed Goals
SOG
Shootout Goals
SPCT
Shooting Percentage
TOI/G
Time On Ice Per Game